As most people are probably aware of, the last election guaranteed that Republicans would not only retake the White House, but they were also able to gain a majority in Congress as well. You read that correctly, the Republicans have control of the House, the Senate, and the White House.
As great a victory as that is now, politicians are always looking towards the future. After all, the next election is going to be in 2018, which is only two short years away. Even though it’s two years away, the Democrats should be getting increasingly worried about what is shaping up to occur.
When the incoming Senate in the 115th session of Congress convenes in January, it will comprise of 52 Republicans and 46 Democrats. There are also two Independent members that side with the Democrats. Despite that, the Republicans still have a majority.
However, the Democrats are looking to lose a tremendous amount of ground once the new election cycle hits. As stated by the United States Constitution, a third of the Senate is up for election every two years. Considering that the term limit for a Senator is six years, these elections are considered very important.
That is where the Democrats have to worry. They lost ground in the last election, and when looking at the 33 Senate seats that are up for re-election in 2018, there are 23 of them held by incumbent Democrats. As for the remaining ten seats, only eight are held by incumbent Republicans, while the last two are held by the two Independents that caucus with the Democrats.
This is important because it gives Republicans a chance to hit that magic number of 60. Once they hit 60 members, they are able to invoke cloture rules to end a filibuster. That was thanks to a rules change that was approved by the full Senate back in 1975.
But the bad news doesn’t stop there for the Democrats. In the 23 states that have incumbent Democrat senators up for re-election, Donald Trump won the Electoral College votes in ten of them! Yes nearly half of the states were able to change from blue to red!
The ten states that Trump won were West Virginia, North Dakota, Montana, Missouri, Indiana, Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Meanwhile of the eight Republican senators that are up for re-election, only one of them has to deal with a state that Trump lost in the Electoral College, and that was Nevada.
If we take into consideration how the last election went, the Republicans are on track to pick up a net total of nine seats, which would give them 61 total, more than enough to end a filibuster. Not to mention that Trump can help out with this task. He has offered Senator Heidi Heitkamp a job in his administration.
She would be the Secretary of Agriculture, and should she accept the job, the Republican majority would increase to 53. It would just be one less seat that the Republicans would have to win to gain a filibuster proof Senate.
If Heitkamp, North Dakota’s sole Democrat in Congress, does become Agriculture secretary, a special election would be held to fill her seat, creating a chance for Republicans to strengthen their Senate majority,” the Grand Forks (North Dakota) Herald reported.
There were four other states that have Democrats up for re-election that saw Trump won the Electoral College by reasonably large margins. Ohio, Montana, Missouri, and Indiana are all states that Trump won by more that seven percent, with the later three being close to 20 percent.
Not only that, but Trump won the Electoral College votes in seven of the eight states where incumbent Republican senators are up for re-election. Which means that the Democrats are going to have a very difficult time gaining any sort of lead.
While the Republicans do have the majority in the Senate right now, it is important that they get to that 60 number. A filibuster is defined as, “an action such as a prolonged speech that obstructs progress in a legislative assembly while not technically contravening the required procedures.”
Basically they are going to do what they can to make sure that a bill doesn’t get passed for whatever reason. Most likely they will not want a bill passed because it doesn’t fit their personal agenda.
In other words, you can bet that Democrats are going to do what they can to try and filibuster any legislation that would do well to help out Trump and the rest of the Republicans. However they can only go for so long. If the Republicans and Trump can just hold out for two years and then have the same historic upset that they had in this year’s election, then there would be nothing that the Democrats could do to stop bills from getting passed.
The Democrats are going to have a hard time getting there as well. Of the 23 Democrat Senate seats up for re-election, only seven of them are in relatively safe spots. Granted things can change in two years, but as of right now, Trump and the Republicans are on their way to having great control in the Senate.
Democrats in Congress are going to have a hard time getting seats back considering what went on with a Democratic president. There was a time when Obama was lecturing the members of Congress because he claimed they weren’t behaving correctly. You really think voters are going to want to have other Democrats lecturing others on how to behave? I highly doubt it.
Not to mention that during the same period with a Democratic president and administration it was discovered that the United States was still funding ISIS. You really think people are going to want to vote for the same party that allowed this to go on? Remember, ISIS is something that we want to DESTROY, not arm! Seriously, good luck getting seats back after that happened.
Share this article to show that the Republicans are in prime position to get a filibuster-proof Senate come 2018. Once they achieve that, there is virtually nothing that can stop the Republicans from getting what they want done. Democrats are not going to like this and it is oh so sweet.
Alex D is a conservative journalist, who covers all issues of importance for conservatives. He brings attention and insight from what happens in the White House to the streets of American towns, because it all has an impact on our future, and the country left for our children. Exposing the truth is his ultimate goal, mixed with wit where it’s appropriate, and feels that journalism shouldn’t be censored. Join him & let’s spread the good word!